Many observers, as they watch with astonishment the ongoing uprising in governmental, military and security institutions which ousted many heads, wonder if the main components of the regime of President Saleh started to dissolve, despite the continuous formal presence and his domination over some security and army forces through his relatives. The answer to these questions need meditations to know what is happening in these institutions. If the collapse of these facilities continued in the same way as the two last week's it subsequently indicates the full disintegration of the main components of Saleh's regime, and not the disintegration of the state's institutions.
The institutions which succeeded in changing their leaders and officials, continued working and carrying out their tasks properly without obstacles inside them. The questions arising now, are about the appropriateness of the timing of these uprising, as well as whether the adopted methods have been correctly and suitable?
The outgoing President Ali Abdullah Saleh hesitated many times to sign GCC Initiative and was creating maneuvers to escape the signature even when he was in Riyadh for treatment after bombing his Compound. Then, his consultants invented the idea of authorizing the Vice-President to sign the Initiative as a kind of stall and buying time. The night, in which Hadi was on the verge of signing the Initiative, Saleh suddenly came back from Riyadh to stop it. Since then, the Vice-President decided not to sign whatever it costs him. That succeeded in putting Saleh in narrow angle because Hadi practices political work with integrity and clarity and hates maneuvers and manipulation of people's interests.
When Saleh found himself obliged to sign due to regional and international pressure and the transformation of the Yemeni file to the Security Council, he started inventing conditions and amendments on the operational mechanism. He continued with his maneuver which became clear inside and outside. When Saleh ended up all his cards, he decided to go to Riyadh to sign and so as to provide himself with internal and external legitimacy.
Saleh was afraid that his signature may cause collapse within the remnants of his loyalists whether at the levels of his party, security and army apparatus. He knows very well the psychology of his followers apart from his relatives who remained steadfast only in return for the obvious interests which they always gained up to the last moment. He understands that many of them would choose ways other than his own in case they know that he is about to step down. These ways may not necessarily go along the same line of the Popular Revolution but it passes through balances of attempting to obtain the youth support after they had let them down throughout last year.
That is why President Saleh sought to maintain high morales of his supporters, sometimes by asserting that he will travel abroad then come back to undertake the opposition activities . At other times he suggests that he would remain to be the Chairman of the General People's Congress. In other instances he criticizes his party's partners in the government and sometimes he issues resolutions and directives. However, all these could not conceal the fact that his political life has come to an end, and his absence from political arena became a matter of time, and his withdrawal from political theatre consequently means the departure of his relatives too.
All this ensured state's civilian , military and security apparatus staff high confidence that the security grip era is gone and there is nothing to be afraid of especially that the ruling family is no more decision-makers as in the past before signing the Initiative and that their influence is confined into narrow limits. The ruling family is now raising problems, disrupting public services, creating crises and threats. The last of these was the bringing back the pitiful al-Sabeen Friday, with its small number of participants, and their preachers who foment sectarianism. It is the Friday that is for the first time not covered by public media
The staff of the state found themselves face to face with the right for change, and their spontaneous movements succeeded in overthrowing a lot of these apparatus's leaders. This created a deep shock to the components of the President's Regime remnants. This regime considered these apparatus as strongholds that can never be affected. Saleh's party sought to blame the Joint Meeting Parties JMP which he knew that they have no presence in these institutions. He found that it is a chance launch false threats of ending the GCC Initiative in an attempt to press Gulf and Western ambassadors who observe the Initiative implementation. These types of pressures are to no avail because the regional and international community know that Saleh's Regime is wholly engaged in corruption.
Accordingly, what is happening in state institutions are only natural reactions which can never be regulated because they are beyond the influence of any political party in the arena. It is obvious that the Gulf, the Western ambassadors and JMP preferred that if these movements had not occurred but they know that no one can prevent it. Saleh's party also knows that these movements are spontaneous. That is why Saleh can never absolve his commitments towards the GCC Initiative.